Penn State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
50  Matt Fischer JR 31:34
147  Robby Creese SO 32:03
436  Nick Scarpello SR 32:51
474  Conner Quinn FR 32:57
595  Austin Pondel FR 33:10
790  Brannon Kidder FR 33:31
834  Chris Campbell JR 33:36
891  Wade Endress SO 33:42
1,048  Conrad Lippert FR 33:54
2,578  William Cvecko JR 36:40
National Rank #49 of 311
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.4%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 90.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Matt Fischer Robby Creese Nick Scarpello Conner Quinn Austin Pondel Brannon Kidder Chris Campbell Wade Endress Conrad Lippert William Cvecko
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 833 31:41 32:04 32:59 32:58 33:30 33:46 33:19
Big Ten Championships 11/03 864 31:26 32:42 33:00 32:56 33:17 33:28 33:55 36:40
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 893 31:30 32:54 32:51 33:06 33:33 33:57 34:01
NCAA Championship 11/23 31:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.4% 28.5 655 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 4.4 135 0.0 0.2 6.0 63.1 21.1 7.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Fischer 94.8% 55.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1
Robby Creese 41.3% 112.7
Nick Scarpello 0.4% 208.0
Conner Quinn 0.4% 208.0
Austin Pondel 0.4% 231.5
Brannon Kidder 0.4% 246.2
Chris Campbell 0.4% 244.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Fischer 3.5 8.1 18.2 17.1 14.2 9.8 6.6 5.2 3.5 3.2 2.5 2.3 1.6 1.6 1.4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Robby Creese 10.8 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.8 5.2 6.1 7.3 7.5 7.1 6.8 7.0 6.1 5.7 4.8 4.3 3.9 3.3 2.5 1.9 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.9
Nick Scarpello 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.6
Conner Quinn 35.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.6
Austin Pondel 44.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5
Brannon Kidder 61.2
Chris Campbell 64.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 6.0% 2.7% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.2 3
4 63.1% 63.1 4
5 21.1% 21.1 5
6 7.4% 7.4 6
7 1.5% 1.5 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.2 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 67.8% 1.0 0.7
Virginia Tech 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.7
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0